Trump More Likely To Win The Election?

less than 1m read

·Nov 7, 2024

I’m just getting a feeling like I had in 2016 that this is Trump's to lose. Now, what's your feeling telling you?

Well, you know, there's—and I get this data pretty well every morning—there's 43 counties in seven states. 45% of the population hates Trump, um, and 45% of the population loves Trump.

And so we're down to this 10% that's floating, and that's why you're seeing these candidates go to these counties. Um, at least they were very intensely last week, and I expect they will this week as well.

My guess is this is going to be an extraordinary election outcome because it may be decided by less than 10,000 votes.

And so, um, you know, I—it's very hard. You know, there's a lot of media attention around momentum each side each week, and Cala is having a bad week right now according to media. But that's not what the polls are telling me.

The polls are telling me within the margin of error of 1.7 to 3.2%. You can't bet, and I'm in the business of betting. I—I would if I knew with certainty Trump was going to win.

I would be going long energy right now at six and seven P stocks. I'd be putting a huge amount of money into US energy stocks, and I can't get any of my fellow investors to go with me there yet. We simply don't know.

Rounding to the nearest tenth and hundredth

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Trump More Likely To Win The Election?

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