Trump More Likely To Win The Election?

less than 1m read

·Nov 7, 2024

I’m just getting a feeling like I had in 2016 that this is Trump's to lose. Now, what's your feeling telling you?

Well, you know, there's—and I get this data pretty well every morning—there's 43 counties in seven states. 45% of the population hates Trump, um, and 45% of the population loves Trump.

And so we're down to this 10% that's floating, and that's why you're seeing these candidates go to these counties. Um, at least they were very intensely last week, and I expect they will this week as well.

My guess is this is going to be an extraordinary election outcome because it may be decided by less than 10,000 votes.

And so, um, you know, I—it's very hard. You know, there's a lot of media attention around momentum each side each week, and Cala is having a bad week right now according to media. But that's not what the polls are telling me.

The polls are telling me within the margin of error of 1.7 to 3.2%. You can't bet, and I'm in the business of betting. I—I would if I knew with certainty Trump was going to win.

I would be going long energy right now at six and seven P stocks. I'd be putting a huge amount of money into US energy stocks, and I can't get any of my fellow investors to go with me there yet. We simply don't know.

I Spent 72 Hours in Bhutan with National Geographic | Juanpa Zurita | Nat Geo’s Best of the World

LearnStorm Growth Mindset: The Truth About Your Brain

View All

Proof of expected value of geometric random variable | AP Statistics | Khan Academy

So right here we have a classic geometric random variable. We’re defining it as the number of independent trials we need to get a success, where the probability of success for each trial is lowercase p. We have seen this before when we introduced ourselve…

15 Small Things That Make People Instantly Like You

In a world where social interactions are the stepping stones to a successful life, charisma is the biggest unfair advantage that you can train in yourself. Even better, there are tiny secrets that you can deploy to give yourself an edge in life. By the en…

My Life Story

A question I get asked surprisingly often is, is Veritasium a real element? Nope, I made it up. Having fun When I was a kid, about 10 or 11 years old, I went to this Genghis Khan exhibit at a museum, and I didn’t know much about Genghis Khan except he was…

Passive Income: How To Make $100 Per Day With Dividends

What’s up guys? It’s Graham here. So instead of the usual Doom and Gloom, let’s talk about this: how to make a hundred dollars a day with dividends starting from zero dollars the easy way, coming from someone who’s done exactly that. In fact, my dividend …

Subtracting 3-digit numbers (no regrouping) | 2nd grade | Khan Academy

We have the number 357. So the three is in the hundreds place. So that represents three hundreds: one hundred, two hundred, three hundreds. Three hundreds right over here, that’s what this three represents, ‘cause it’s in the hundreds place. Let me write …

Categorical grants, mandates, and the Commerce Clause | US government and civics | Khan Academy

In a previous video, we’ve introduced ourselves to the idea of federalism in the United States. At a high level, you could view it as a contract between a national government and the states of which it is made. But you could also view it as a layered form…

Trump More Likely To Win The Election?

More Articles