Trump More Likely To Win The Election?

less than 1m read

·Nov 7, 2024

I’m just getting a feeling like I had in 2016 that this is Trump's to lose. Now, what's your feeling telling you?

Well, you know, there's—and I get this data pretty well every morning—there's 43 counties in seven states. 45% of the population hates Trump, um, and 45% of the population loves Trump.

And so we're down to this 10% that's floating, and that's why you're seeing these candidates go to these counties. Um, at least they were very intensely last week, and I expect they will this week as well.

My guess is this is going to be an extraordinary election outcome because it may be decided by less than 10,000 votes.

And so, um, you know, I—it's very hard. You know, there's a lot of media attention around momentum each side each week, and Cala is having a bad week right now according to media. But that's not what the polls are telling me.

The polls are telling me within the margin of error of 1.7 to 3.2%. You can't bet, and I'm in the business of betting. I—I would if I knew with certainty Trump was going to win.

I would be going long energy right now at six and seven P stocks. I'd be putting a huge amount of money into US energy stocks, and I can't get any of my fellow investors to go with me there yet. We simply don't know.

How Sharks Devoured My Career | Podcast | Overheard at National Geographic

What Was Black Sunday? | The Long Road Home

View All

Leading and lagging strands in DNA replication | MCAT | Khan Academy

Let’s talk a little bit in more depth about how DNA actually copies itself, how it actually replicates, and we’re going to talk about the actual actors in the process. Now, as I talk about it, I’m going to talk a lot about the three prime and the five pri…

The Power of Miracles | A Pastor, A Rabbi and an Imam | The Story of God

Okay, so stop me if you’ve heard this: a rabbi, a pastor, and an imam walk into a bar. Okay, so it must be barred with a diner to discuss my show “History of God” about our miracles. Are real? So the rabbi says, “Einstein said we can look at the world a…

The Modern Struggle Is Fighting Weaponized Addiction

In some very deep level, all pleasure creates its own offsetting pain and fear of loss on the other side. I had a tweet recently where I said, in an age of abundance, pursuing pleasure for its own sake creates addiction. A Miyamoto Musashi line: do not pu…

The Leap Year as Explained by Neil deGrasse Tyson | StarTalk

Lee: Piers, no, they don’t happen all the time. But neither do presidential elections. But people don’t freak out with it. Well, it’s a presidential election year. It’s rare—notes every four years. Chill out! We, on Earth, as we orbit the Sun, we know ho…

Collecting Crab Pots | Alaska: The Next Generation

You’ll learn as you’re going and get older, you make your own shortcut. You’ll always make it back home. Ready, Glyn? Oh, yeah. Glyn and I are off to pull out crab pots from Olga Bay, where he has one and I have one. And that increases our chances of get…

The Secret That Silicon Valley's Top Investors All Share

If you look at the YC top companies list, anyone can look at this; this is on the internet. If you actually look at who invested in them, it’s all the biggest restaurants. So this is Dalton plus Michael, and today we’re going to talk about why the best in…

Trump More Likely To Win The Election?

More Articles