Trump More Likely To Win The Election?

less than 1m read

·Nov 7, 2024

I’m just getting a feeling like I had in 2016 that this is Trump's to lose. Now, what's your feeling telling you?

Well, you know, there's—and I get this data pretty well every morning—there's 43 counties in seven states. 45% of the population hates Trump, um, and 45% of the population loves Trump.

And so we're down to this 10% that's floating, and that's why you're seeing these candidates go to these counties. Um, at least they were very intensely last week, and I expect they will this week as well.

My guess is this is going to be an extraordinary election outcome because it may be decided by less than 10,000 votes.

And so, um, you know, I—it's very hard. You know, there's a lot of media attention around momentum each side each week, and Cala is having a bad week right now according to media. But that's not what the polls are telling me.

The polls are telling me within the margin of error of 1.7 to 3.2%. You can't bet, and I'm in the business of betting. I—I would if I knew with certainty Trump was going to win.

I would be going long energy right now at six and seven P stocks. I'd be putting a huge amount of money into US energy stocks, and I can't get any of my fellow investors to go with me there yet. We simply don't know.

Arrogance & Pride in Stoicism | Q&A #4 | June 2019

The First Militaristic Drug Cartel | Narco Wars

View All

How Gravity Actually Works

This video is sponsored by Caseta by Lutron. According to the general theory of relativity, gravity is not a force. There are no gravitational fields; gravity is kind of an illusion. And in this video, I will prove it to you by blasting off into outer spa…

The Trouble with America’s Captive Tigers | Podcast | Overheard at National Geographic

Nothing would have prepared me for what we actually saw even before we go in. So we, you know, start driving towards South Myrtle Beach, and, uh, we’re driving through this suburban neighborhood where there’s families and, you know, your typical suburban …

Minority Rule: First Past the Post Voting

Welcome to the problem with first past the post voting explained by me, C. G. P. Grey. The royal family has a problem. But this isn’t just any royal family; these are the lions — rulers of the jungle since time immemorial. There are protests over the mona…

Introduction to currency exchange and trade | AP Macroeconomics | Khan Academy

What I want to do in this video is think about how exchange rates can affect trade, and actually we can even think a little bit about how they might be able to affect each other, although we’ll go into a lot more depth in that in future videos. So let’s …

Fiscal policy to address output gaps | AP Macroeconomics | Khan Academy

What we see here is an economy with an output gap. As you can see, the short-run equilibrium output is below our full employment output. This is sometimes referred to as a recessionary output gap. In other videos, we talk about how there could be a self-…

Predicting the Apocalypse? | The Story of God

But is it possible to predict the end? A few years back, many people thought they had. According to popular legend, the ancient Maya thought the apocalypse would arrive on a specific date: December 21st, 2012. I want to know if this is really true, so I’v…

Trump More Likely To Win The Election?

More Articles