yego.me
💡 Stop wasting time. Read Youtube instead of watch. Download Chrome Extension

We’re All Equal in Our Infinite Ignorance


2m read
·Nov 3, 2024

Induction also says that prediction is the main reason for the existence of science, but it's not; it's explanation. You want an explanation of what's going on, even if you can't necessarily predict with any certainty what's going to happen next. In fact, knowing what's going to happen next with some degree of certainty can be deflating, and the unknown can be far more fun than having absolute certitude about what tomorrow will bring.

This brings us to the related point: the science has never settled. We should always be free to have new creativity, a new conjecture. You never know where the best ideas are going to come from, and you have to take everything that's made in good faith seriously. So this idea that the science is settled or the science is closed is nonsense, and it implies that we can all agree upon the process with which we come up with new theories rather through creativity and conjecture.

The door is always open for new people with new ideas to come in and do that. As Popper said, we're all equal in our infinite ignorance. So even if someone claims expertise, they might even be valid in their claim to expertise. There's an infinite number of things they do not know, and those infinite number of things they do not know could affect the things they do know.

So, the child who is coming through school, who is not expert in anything, can still come up with an idea that can challenge the foundations of the greatest expert. Because the expert, like the child, is ignorant about a whole bunch of things. They could have error that does not preclude someone else who lacks that fine-tuned knowledge from being able to point out there's an error and here's a better idea.

More Articles

View All
Beware: The Inverted Yield Curve
Once of you guys, it’s Graham here. So every now and then, I like to deviate a bit from real estate and personal finance to discuss some other topics of importance, and this is one of them. That would be the inverted yield curve, and this is a topic that’…
Does Manifestation Work?
Have you ever heard someone say something along the lines of, “If you want something in life, all you have to do is think about it, visualize it, believe you can have it, and you will?” This is called manifestation or the law of attraction. It’s the idea …
With Horses' Help, Army Veteran Finds Healing in Yellowstone | National Geographic
I served in the US Army for 11 years. I was in 10 Special Forces Group, did all my combat deployments to Afghanistan, been diagnosed with PTSD, pretty bad anxiety, and for a long time, 8 months, I didn’t want to leave the house at all. I went on a horse …
Mobilizing the Masses | Photographer | National Geographic
People really want to know what it feels like to be a photographer, what it feels like to be sitting there in the stream when a bear comes walking in. I was cold, I was hungry, I was scared, I was excited. And so we started posting those stories, and it …
The Best Way to Move Mountain Goats? Helicopters. | National Geographic
[Music] [Applause] [Music] So the way we catch goats is we don’t tranquilize them at all. They just, what they do is they take a helicopter and they fly until they find a goat. They can have it in an area that’s relatively flat; they can catch it, and the…
You Have to Protect Your House! | Life Below Zero
You don’t know when something unique is going to happen out here, but you better be on your toes. There he is, he’s on top of my Ridge now. After a brief stay in Dead Horse, SE has returned home to find a Wolverine lurking around CIC’s perimeter. To prot…