yego.me
💡 Stop wasting time. Read Youtube instead of watch. Download Chrome Extension

Negotiation Technique: Understand Our Perceptions of Gains and Losses | FBI Negotiator Chris Voss


2m read
·Nov 4, 2024

So I refer to bending reality as understanding how people view losses and gains. And there's Nobel Prize winning behavioral economics theory that says people put a value of losses on at least twice what an equivalent gain is. And that's how people get their valuations distorted.

And actually the guys that came up with that theory said that losses are twice as heavy as gains, but then they've unofficially said really it's five to seven times as much; we just wrote down twice as much because we wanted fewer arguments. So losing $5 stings at least twice as much as gaining $5. Losing $5 feels like losing $10 or even $35; it's just a ridiculous skewing in our brains over loss.

Which is why when you're pitching a gain, if you think that what you're offering is worth $100 and you're only charging $80, well, based on prospect theory, they're not going to make that exchange. While to us that makes all the sense in the world because it's a gain. But if paying $80 for something, it's got to be worth at least $160 for them to want it. I mean, it's this crazy math that goes on in our heads over gains and losses. It just is. There's nothing we can do about it.

So understanding that, first of all, when I began to use an accusations audit to try to diminish those fears of lost, it gets a person back more into even gains. And then I realize that people are more likely to do things to avoid losses. In a negotiation, all I have to point out is what's actually going to be lost if this isn't done.

In some ways in a business world, a reverse of this is what I call taking people hostage to the future. If I can convince you that if you do all this work for me for nothing, that all this business will come your way as a result, which is actually what's done a lot in the business community.

Come and do this business for us at a cut rate and we'll introduce you to all this business, and you'll be fabulously wealthy as a result of our referrals. Well, if you buy into getting all that money for those referrals, now you're being taken hostage to the future and you'll do the business for nothing because you're afraid of losing those referrals. That's pretty common.

And after a while, people tend to catch on to it. The much wiser approach is for me to simply point out how not doing this deal is, in fact, costing you every day. If you do nothing, you lose. If you don't address this issue, it's going to cost to you.

So when the status quo becomes a loss, then people are more likely to make a decision to make a move because of prospect theory; just the fear of loss in our head is huge.

More Articles

View All
How To Improve Cohort Retention | Startup School
[Music] Hi everyone! I’m David Lee. I am a group partner here at YC. YC has a famously simple motto: make something people want. I think it’s the purest statement of the job of startup Founders, and we talk about this a lot. But what gets talked about a l…
No Truth Can Be Justified
The initial guesses at what knowledge was all about amounted to what is known as the justified true belief vision of knowledge, and it’s still the most prevalent idea today. Anyone who calls themselves a Bayesian is a justified true believer, and that’s t…
Growing Food on Mars | MARS: How to Survive on Mars
[Music] Another thing that we’re going to need when we go to Mars is food. Probably that’s going to mean growing some of your own food. We want to do that not by lugging everything from Earth but by using what’s already on Mars. That includes using the …
Americans Will Run Out Of Money By January 1st
What’s up, guys? It’s Graham here. So, it’s official—80% of Americans have already run out of money, and it’s about to get a lot worse over these next few months. That’s right, a new survey just found that despite the personal savings rate hovering near a…
Example free response question from AP macroeconomics | AP Macroeconomics | Khan Academy
Video, I want to tackle an entire AP Macroeconomics free response exercise with you. Assume that the economy of Country X has an actual unemployment rate of seven percent, a natural rate of unemployment of five percent, and an inflation rate of three perc…
"The SECRET To Business Success In 2021 IS THIS!.." | Kevin O'Leary & Gary Vee
So in this crazy outcome that I could have never foreseen, 80% of the portfolio, even though revenues are down, are actually ahead of free cash flow forecasts. You cannot, people, you can’t lie to them. You have to be totally transparent, whether that’s g…